Author's Note: After this chapter, there will be no new chapters next week as I need to rest and review the lore. Please understand.

_____

Note: This work is entirely fictional and belongs to the Alternate History genre, utilizing historical characters and events in a fictional context. All content is a product of imagination and does not reflect reality or political or military stance.

The story contains sensitive elements such as violence, large-scale warfare, tense political conflicts, and alternative historical depictions. It is not suitable for readers under 16 years of age or those who may be psychologically affected.

Continuing to read implies acceptance of all controversial elements within the work.

_____

GLOBAL STRATEGIC DOSSIER
CLASSIFIED – FOR INTERNAL GRU CIRCULATION ONLY
REFERENCE NUMBER: GRU/SHG/2020-Δ/Σ-BLACK
Completion Date: December 27, 2020
Title: GEOPOLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS (2000–2020)

-----

INTRODUCTION

"The world has become a shattered arena, where nations are consumed by war, betrayal, and ruthless conspiracies. Russia, alongside its steadfast allies and strategic partners, stands on the razor's edge of survival, confronting dark forces from within and without."

This dossier chronicles the sequence of events from 2000 to 2020, as humanity descended into a global nightmare: bloody civil wars, cyberattacks that devastated civilizations, widespread terrorism, environmental disasters, energy crises, and economic collapse that pushed the world to the brink of annihilation.

-----I. 2000–2008: THE SEEDS OF CHAOS

"Global liberalization was merely a thin veneer concealing the smoldering flames of war."

1. War and Instability in the Middle East

- 2001–2003: The 9/11 attacks prompted the U.S. to launch wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, ushering in an era of prolonged conflict. Iraq fragmented into militia-controlled zones, while Afghanistan became a stronghold for Al-Qaeda and emerging terrorist groups.

- 2006: The Israel-Lebanon War erupted, aligning Hezbollah with Iran and Syria. Global terrorist networks used encrypted technology to orchestrate attacks in Istanbul, Dubai, and Amman.

- 2007: Syria descended into full-scale civil war. Russia supplied weapons and military advisors to the Assad regime, while the U.S. and Turkey backed rebel groups, turning the region into a bloody proxy battlefield.

2. Global Energy Crisis

- 2004: Attacks on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Kuwait by Islamic militants disrupted 25% of the global oil supply. Soaring oil prices triggered severe inflation in Europe, Asia, and Africa.

- Russia capitalized on the opportunity to boost oil exports, strengthening ties with Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan through bilateral energy agreements.

3. Widespread Political Instability

- 2005–2007: Ukraine plunged into an unofficial civil war as pro-Russian and pro-Western factions clashed in Kyiv and Donetsk. Russia supported President Yanukovych, while the EU and NATO funded democratic movements, pushing the country toward collapse.

- 2008: Russia faced its largest pre-Euromaidan sanctions following the Georgia War. The West incited mass protests in Moscow, St. Petersburg, Novosibirsk, and Vladivostok, demanding political reforms. Security forces cracked down harshly, but Western-backed underground opposition groups began covert operations, investigated secretly while biding their time.

- Russia-Belarus-Central Asia Alliance: Russia deepened ties with Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan through the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), maintaining close relations with Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan via bilateral agreements. Belarus served as the Western defense line, Kazakhstan as the economic hub, and Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan as strategic gas suppliers.

3. Arab Spring

- 2010–2011: Uprisings toppled regimes in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, and Yemen, but gave rise to jihadist groups. Libya became a global "black spot," hosting large-scale terrorist training camps.

- 2011: A suspected rebel chemical attack in Cairo killed tens of thousands of civilians, sparking global fears of chemical warfare.

4. First Migration Crisis

- 2008: The Syrian Civil War and Middle Eastern instability triggered a massive refugee wave into Europe, escalating ethnic and political tensions. Anti-immigrant riots erupted in Germany, France, Sweden, Italy, and Austria, weakening EU unity.

- Regional Political Crises

- South Africa (2007): Political unrest over land disputes and economic inequality led to ethnic riots in Johannesburg and Cape Town, disrupting global mineral supplies (gold, platinum).

- Southeast Asia (2008): Anti-China protests erupted in Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam, demanding cultural preservation, democratic reforms, and anti-corruption measures. Russia supported Vietnam with weapons and military advisors, laying the foundation for future ASEAN ties.

5. Emergence of the MIR Organization

- 2007: MIR began as a paramilitary group, comprising members of the 22nd Reconnaissance Company, led by Orlov, a disgruntled former Russian officer. MIR recruited separatists from southern Russia (Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkaria, Chechnya).

- 2007–2008: MIR covertly supported NATO in Libya, providing intelligence and conducting sabotage operations, contributing to Libya's descent into chaos after Gaddafi's fall.

-----II. 2009–2014: A WORLD IN THE FURNACE

"Economic crises, covert wars, and sinister conspiracies pushed humanity to the edge."

1. Global Financial Crisis

- 2009–2012: The 2008 financial crisis devastated major economies like the U.S., EU, and Japan. Riots over poverty and unemployment spread from Greece to Brazil, weakening governments.

- Non-state actors (militias, hackers) exploited government vulnerabilities, seizing control in Somalia, Yemen, and northern Mexico.

2. Russia-Belarus-Central Asia Alliance and ASEAN Relations

- 2010–2014: Russia solidified ties with Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan via CSTO, maintaining close alliances with Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan through bilateral energy and security agreements. Kazakhstan served as the economic hub, Belarus as the Western military fortress, and Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan as strategic gas suppliers.

- 2013: Russia signed a military-economic cooperation agreement with Vietnam, expanding ties with ASEAN. Russia supplied warships, missiles, and defense technology to Vietnam, laying the groundwork for future SEAMA cooperation.

- Russia-ASEAN Summit (2014): Russia hosted a summit with ASEAN in Hanoi, signing trade and defense agreements, committing to counter China's regional influence.

2. Formation and Growth of SEAMA

- 2013: ASEAN, led by Vietnam, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, openly opposed China's South China Sea claims. Naval clashes in the Spratly Islands resulted in hundreds of deaths.

- 2014: ASEAN evolved into the Southeast Asian Economic-Military Alliance (SEAMA), a unified economic-military organization with joint defense agreements, naval bases in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Indonesia, and alliances with the U.S., Japan, India, Australia, and Russia. SEAMA became a formidable counterweight to China.

- SEAMA-China Trade War (2014): China imposed economic sanctions on Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia, but SEAMA, with Russian support, retaliated with an independent trade alliance, paralyzing major ports like Singapore, Haiphong, and Shanghai through cyberattacks.

3. Covert Wars and Regional Conflicts

- 2010–2012: Russia and the EU engaged in espionage campaigns in Eastern Europe. Assassinations and cyberattacks targeting leaders in Bulgaria, Serbia, and Hungary turned the region into a political powder keg.

- 2014: Russia annexed Crimea and supported separatists in Donbass, sparking direct military conflict with Ukraine. NATO responded with large-scale military exercises in the Baltics and Poland.

- Balkan Crisis (2012): Serbia and Bosnia descended into ethnic civil wars over territorial disputes. Russia backed Serbia, while NATO intervened in Bosnia.

- Caucasus Crisis (2013): Georgia and Azerbaijan clashed in Nagorno-Karabakh, with Russia supporting Armenia and Turkey backing Azerbaijan. MIR attacked Yerevan and Baku, condemning Russia for destabilizing the region.

4. Environmental Crises

- 2012–2014: Climate change triggered superstorms in Southeast Asia, desertification in Central Asia, floods in Eastern Europe, and wildfires in Australia. Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan collaborated on irrigation and renewable energy projects.

- Clean Water Crisis (2013): Water shortages sparked border conflicts in India-Pakistan and Israel-Jordan. Russia supported Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan in building hydroelectric dams, bolstering its influence in Central Asia.

5. MIR Activities

- 2009–2011: MIR officially formed in 2011 but continued supporting NATO in Libya, fueling chaos after Gaddafi's fall. Orlov expanded recruitment from separatist groups in Chechnya, Dagestan, and Ingushetia.

+ 2012–2014:

+ MIR attacked Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan, targeting military bases and energy infrastructure, coinciding with Western media campaigns branding these nations as "Russian-backed dictatorships."

+ MIR conducted terrorist attacks in Yerevan (Armenia) and Baku (Azerbaijan), launching an anti-Russia campaign, accusing Moscow of destabilizing the Caucasus.

+ MIR supported separatists in Chechnya, Dagestan, and Ingushetia, attacking military targets and oil pipelines in southern Russia. Social media propaganda portrayed MIR as "freedom fighters," but terrorist attacks eroded public trust in the Russian government.

6. Regional Political Crises

- Nordic Region (2014): Far-right populist movements triumphed in Sweden, Norway, and Finland, enacting anti-immigrant and anti-EU policies. Ethnic violence erupted in Stockholm, Oslo, and Helsinki.

- Latin America (2013): Anti-U.S. populist movements in Bolivia, Ecuador, and Nicaragua led to riots and government overthrows. Russia and SEAMA supported these movements, escalating tensions with the U.S.

-----III. 2015–2020: HUMANITY ON THE BRINK OF ANNIHILATION

"No longer nations, only fragments of a burning world."

1. Global Civil Wars

- United States (2015–2019):

+ 2017: Far-left and far-right extremist groups clashed in armed conflicts in Los Angeles, Chicago, Atlanta, and Seattle, turning major cities into battlegrounds.

+ 2019: California declared independence, forming the "People's Republic of California." Texas, Florida, and Arizona became autonomous, plunging the U.S. into full-scale civil war.

- European Union (2016–2020):

+ 2016: Brexit triggered a domino effect. France, Germany, and Italy faced separatist movements. bombings in Brussels, Berlin, Paris, Rome, and Madrid paralyzed the EU.

+ 2019: Italy and Spain exited the EU, leading to its complete dissolution. Europe fragmented into hostile "micro-states," with border wars in Poland, Hungary, Romania, and the Czech Republic.

- Venezuela (2017–2019): Civil war between the Maduro regime and opposition escalated, with U.S., Russian, and Chinese intervention. Russia, alongside Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan, supplied weapons to Maduro.

- Brazil (2018): Civil war fueled by political disputes and criminal gangs turned the Amazon into a battlefield. The U.S. and China intervened to control resources.

- Nigeria (2019): Ethnic and religious civil war, exacerbated by Western oil conglomerates and Islamic militants, disrupted Africa's oil supply.

- Hong Kong (2019): Anti-China protests escalated into armed riots. China deployed troops, escalating tensions with SEAMA, Russia, and the West.

- Sudan (2020): Civil war between the military and militias, with Chinese, Russian, and U.S. intervention over oil fields, triggered a refugee crisis in Egypt and Ethiopia.

2. Middle East Crisis and Global Terrorism

- 2015–2018: ISIS seized control of Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan, declaring a "Global Jihadist Kingdom." Chemical attacks in Damascus, Kabul, and Baghdad killed millions.

- 2019: The terrorist group "Dark Covenant" launched simultaneous attacks in London, Paris, New York, Tokyo, Mumbai, Jakarta, Riyadh, and Cairo, suspected of ties to MIR and Western entities.

- 2020: The Middle East fragmented into militia-controlled zones. Russia maintained influence in Syria, coordinating with SEAMA, but faced attacks from Turkey and Israel.

- Persian Gulf Crisis (2019): Iran attacked oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 30% of global oil supplies. The U.S. and Saudi Arabia retaliated with airstrikes. Russia and SEAMA mediated, but the conflict escalated.

- Yemen Civil War (2018): Yemen became a battleground between Saudi Arabia and Iran, with Russian, U.S., and SEAMA intervention, causing a severe humanitarian crisis.

3. Asia: War and Disaster

- India (2016–2019): Religious civil war and Kashmir conflicts with Pakistan resulted in millions of deaths.

- Northeast Asia (2020): North Korea launched missiles at Seoul and Tokyo, triggering military responses from the U.S., Japan, and South Korea. China supported North Korea, while Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan provided logistical aid, leading to a war with tens of millions of casualties.

- SEAMA's Resistance Against China and Cooperation with Russia:

+ 2017–2020: Naval conflicts between SEAMA (Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand) and China in the South China Sea escalated. SEAMA deployed naval bases in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Indonesia, supported by the U.S., Japan, India, Australia, and Russia.

+ 2019: China imposed economic sanctions on SEAMA, but SEAMA, with Russian support, retaliated with an independent trade alliance. Russia supplied submarines and anti-ship missiles to Vietnam and the Philippines.

+ Russia-SEAMA Summit (2019): A summit in Jakarta signed energy and cybersecurity agreements to counter China and MIR.

+ Myanmar (2018): Civil war between the government and ethnic groups, with Chinese and Indian intervention, triggered a refugee crisis in Thailand, Bangladesh, and Laos. Russia and SEAMA provided humanitarian aid.

+ Taiwan Strait (2020): Chinese military drills near Taiwan led to clashes with the U.S., Japan, SEAMA, and Russia. SEAMA and Russia supported Taiwan with warships.

+ Southeast Asian Separatist Movements (2019): Separatists in southern Thailand, Aceh (Indonesia), and Mindanao (Philippines), backed by China and MIR, weakened SEAMA.

4. Cyber Warfare and International Conspiracies

- 2015–2017: Russia, in coordination with Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan, launched cyberattacks that crippled global internet infrastructure for 72 hours in 2016.

- 2018: The U.S., NATO, and China retaliated, targeting energy infrastructure in Russia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan, causing blackouts in Moscow, Astana, Tashkent, and Ashgabat.

- 2019: The hacker group "Global Phantom" launched a massive cyberattack, suspected to be funded by China, the U.S., or MIR.

- Espionage Crisis (2019): Assassinations of Russian, U.S., Chinese, SEAMA, and Turkish diplomats escalated tensions. Russia and SEAMA accused NATO and MIR, while the U.S. blamed China.

5. Military Alliances and CSTO Expansion

- 2015–2018: CSTO (Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan) enhanced military cooperation, deploying hypersonic missiles and air defenses in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan.

- 2019: Belarus and Uzbekistan applied to join CSTO. Armenia, Serbia, and Moldova expressed interest but faced opposition from NATO, the EU, and Turkey. Turkmenistan maintained close ties with Russia.

- 2020: Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan formed an informal military-economic alliance, controlling Central Asian energy resources and collaborating with SEAMA.

- Middle East Alliance Collapse (2019): Iran, Turkey, and Qatar disintegrated due to conflicts. Russia and SEAMA mediated but failed to restore peace.

- South Asian Alliance Collapse (2019): India withdrew from cooperation with Pakistan and Bangladesh over Kashmir. India aligned with SEAMA, Russia, and the U.S.

6. Environmental and Humanitarian Crises

- 2018–2020: Climate change caused storms, droughts, floods, and wildfires in Southeast Asia, Central Asia, Eastern Europe, the Amazon, Siberia, and Australia. Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan developed renewable energy and irrigation projects.

- Food Crisis (2020): Droughts and pests triggered famines in Africa, South Asia, and South America. Food riots erupted in India, Nigeria, Argentina, Ethiopia, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. Russia and SEAMA provided aid, but it was insufficient.

- Clean Water Crisis (2019): Water shortages sparked conflicts in India-Pakistan, Israel-Jordan, and Ethiopia-Egypt. Russia supported Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan in building hydroelectric dams.

7. MIR Activities

- 2015–2016:

+ MIR expanded operations in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, attacking government and military targets in Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and Belarus, inciting separatism and instability.

+ MIR supported separatists in Chechnya, Dagestan, and Ingushetia, targeting military and oil infrastructure in southern Russia, eroding public trust in the government.

- 2016–2018:

+ MIR collaborated with Islamic extremist groups, attacking Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan, damaging oil and gas infrastructure.

+ MIR received financial and arms support from the U.S. and Germany under the guise of "democracy support." Training camps were established in Ukraine, Georgia, and Poland.

- 2018–2020:

+ Late 2018–Early 2019: Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkey launched Operation Thunderstrike, a seven-month campaign that pushed MIR into southern Siberia (Irkutsk).

+ Early 2020: MIR retaliated with attacks in Moscow, Minsk, Astana, Bishkek, Dushanbe, Tashkent, Ashgabat, Hanoi, and Manila, killing thousands.

-----IV. RUSSIA'S STATUS BEFORE THE SHIFT (2020)

"Russia stands on the precipice of glory and destruction, shielded by its allies and SEAMA, but surrounded by enemies and the threat of MIR."

1. Military Strength

- 2009–2014: Russia modernized its nuclear arsenal, cyber warfare capabilities, and asymmetric tactics. Bases in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan were upgraded with air defense missiles.

- 2015–2017: Strong interventions in Syria and Ukraine solidified Russia's influence in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.

- 2018–2020: Russia began developing "Perimeter 2.0," a satellite-based attack system to neutralize NATO and Chinese infrastructure. Belarus, Kazakhstan, and SEAMA (Vietnam) served as testing hubs for high-energy weapons.

2. Domestic Situation

- Social Restructuring (2018–2020): Facing increasingly complex global challenges, Russia initiated democratic, legal, and administrative reforms in major cities like Moscow, St. Petersburg, Vladivostok, Yekaterinburg, Kazan, and Novosibirsk. Citizen dialogue forums and the "Listen to the People, Act for the People" policy feedback campaign enhanced transparency and bolstered social trust. As a result, Russian politics became more stable, adaptable, and responsive to 21st-century challenges, enabling the government to implement rapid countermeasures.

+ Addendum: Due to the effectiveness of social restructuring, protests did not spread nationwide after May 16. Areas expected to face unrest remained calmer than anticipated, with only Moscow and a few major cities experiencing minor protests. Protest suppression concluded by June 13.

- Defense Technology Breakthrough (2020): Despite international sanctions, foreign high-tech chip companies like ASML, Nikon, Canon, SMIC, and TSMC continued operations in Russia, providing solutions for strategic industries. However, Russia pursued a self-reliant semiconductor strategy, focusing on microchips for defense, aviation, and cybersecurity. Key factories like Mikron, Angstrem-T, and Baikal Electronics were revamped, producing stable industrial chips independent of Western supply chains. Russia also advanced domestic operating systems and software, enhancing cybersecurity and technological independence in defense.

+ Addendum: Following negotiations with the government post-Shift, these companies were nationalized. ASML merged into Arkonis as a long-term strategy for efficient budget allocation and private-sector execution. Arkonis's chairman met with President Putin to discuss the matter, securing state approval and patronage for the private conglomerate.

3. Strategic Alliances

- Russia maintained its independent stance, forging a "brotherly" alliance with Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan (CSTO), and close ties with Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan.

- Relations with SEAMA, rooted in traditional ties with Vietnam, enabled Russia to maintain influence in Asia, countering China and NATO.

-----V. THE SHIFT EVENT (September 25, 2020)

- Event Description: The Shift occurred in a fleeting moment with profound consequences, causing Russia and the entire Central Asian region to vanish from Earth. The result was irreparable global political chaos and the looming threat of an unprecedented World War.

- Strategic Predictions: Analysts predicted that within months of the event, as shifted nations and allies grappled with the fallout, conflict intensity would escalate dramatically. Possible scenarios include:

+ Chinese Invasion: China may expand its aggressive strategy into Southeast Asia (SEAMA), exploiting regional instability.

+ U.S. Military Action: The U.S. may attempt to reclaim lost federal entities, including strategic territories.

+ Middle East Crisis: The Middle East could descend into chaos, with risks of nuclear war or widespread radiological devastation.

- Current Situation and Strategic Direction: In the present context, no nation can guarantee stability or accurately predict the near future. All current strategies must focus on contingency plans for an otherworldly scenario, particularly the potential exploitation of alternate worlds, such as a second Earth. This may be a necessary step to ensure the survival of nations and civilizations, while offering opportunities to restructure global strategies in a new reality.

-----VI. CONCLUSION

From 2000 to 2020, humanity endured a global nightmare: civil wars, cyberattacks, terrorism, environmental disasters, and economic crises that pushed the world to the brink of annihilation. Russia, an independent nation with ironclad alliances with Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, close ties with Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, and strategic cooperation with SEAMA (evolving from ASEAN, rooted in traditional ties with Vietnam), faced conflicts, political conspiracies, and the terrorist organization MIR.

The transformation of ASEAN into SEAMA, the expansion of CSTO, and crises in the Arctic, Persian Gulf, South Asia, Eastern Europe, and Africa further destabilized the world. The mysterious Shift in September 2020, encompassing Russia and its allies, not only marked the disappearance of a superpower but also ushered in an uncertain future where humanity confronts the consequences of its actions.

Yet, amid this chaos, opportunities emerge. The Shift opens the possibility of exploring alternate worlds—a prospect where Russia, with its military, technological, and alliance foundations, could lead the way. Future strategies must focus on three pillars:

1. Otherworldly Adaptation: Establish protocols to adapt and exploit resources in new worlds, ensuring the survival of the nation and its allies.

2. Alliance Restructuring: Strengthen cooperation and solidify CSTO as a military force, while expanding the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and engaging potential partners in the new geopolitical landscape.

3. Technological and Security Autonomy: Accelerate defense technology development, particularly semiconductors, cybersecurity, and high-energy weapons, to counter threats from MIR and hostile forces.

Final Note:
This dossier is not merely a record of two decades of human chaos but a warning of what may come if the world fails to learn from its past. The Shift of 2020, whether catastrophe or opportunity, has opened a new chapter in human history. Russia, with its legacy of resilience and strategic vision, stands at the threshold of a monumental mission: to lead its people through the darkness toward a future where peace, stability, and prosperity can be rebuilt from the ashes of the old world.

SIGNED AND APPROVED
Colonel Alexei V. Romanov
GRU Military Intelligence Agency
Date: December 27, 2020 (Official updates to this dossier ceased on June 30, 2021)

CLASSIFIED – FOR INTERNAL GRU CIRCULATION ONLY

_____

Author's Note: I know this content may feel shocking or even unsettling to read. But trust me, this is intentional and part of the main storyline. I encourage friendly debates below, but let's remember—we're here to share personal perspectives, not to attack anyone. That's all.